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Kerala Economy Journal

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Dwindling revenue and galloping expenditure in pandemic times

Authors: Anitha Kumary L , N. Ramalingam , Choose Author | Published on: 29-Sep-2023

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Abstract

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The deteriorating effect of the global economic slowdown had its serious impact on the finance of Kerala for the last couple of years and the state is facing serious revenue - expenditure gap. The COVID- -19 pandemic adds to the pain of the state, since spending on social security initiatives and public health is mounting up heavily. The undue delay of   the central government in filling the revenue gap through the timely disbursement of GST compensation adversely affects the fiscal space of state.  The revenue shrinkage coupled with the higher revenue expenditure naturally resort the Government to borrow more. The latest data shows that the borrowing has increased substantially by 112.9 per cent to meet the higher expenditure needs.

Revenue, expenditure, debt and deficit/surplus constitute the four major components of state finance. The revenue entails the State's tax and non-tax revenues and Central Finance Commission's net proceeds to states and other grants-in aid from the Central Government. The finance accounts of Kerala for FY 2018-19 shows 11.9 per cent and 14.1 per cent of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP)as Revenue Receipts(RR) and Revenue Expenditure (RE) respectively. The revised estimate for 2019-20 was fixed as 11.4 per cent for RR and 13.4 per cent for RE which is a slightly pegged down estimate from the previous year.  During 2020-21 the budget estimate figured at 11.7 per cent and 13.3 per cent of GSDP. These are realistic budget figures, compared to the previous couple of years under normal economic situation. But the effect of COVID-19 emulates with a 'new normal situation' which in turn tumbles the budgeted targets of 2020-21 (Table.1).

 

Table 1.   State finances - Kerala 2018-19 to 2020-21(Rs. Thousand Crore)

Sl. No.

Particulars

2020-21

2019-20

2018-19

Percentage  on GDP

Growth Rate (%

2020-21 (BE)

2019-20 (RE)

2018-19 Accounts

2020-21 over 2019-20

2019-20 over 2018-19

1

Total  revenue receipts (2+3)

114.6

99

92.9

11.7

11.4

11.9

15.7

6.7

2

Tax revenue

88.4

74.7

69.7

9

8.6

8.9

18.3

7.2

3

Non rax revenue

26.3

24.4

23.2

2.7

2.8

3

7.8

5.2

4

State's own revenue (5+6)

82

68.9

62.4

8.4

7.9

8

19

10.4

5

State's own tax revenue

67.4

55.7

50.6

6.9

6.4

6.5

21.1

9.9

6

State's own non tax revenue

14.6

13.2

11.8

1.5

1.5

1.5

10.1

12.4

6a

Lotteries

11.6

10.5

9.3

1.2

1.2

1.2

10.2

13.2

7

Central govt.transfers

32.6

30.1

30.4

3.3

3.5

3.9

8.3

-1

7a

Share of central taxes

20.9

19

19

2.1

2.2

2.4

10.2

-0.2

7b

Grants in aid

11.7

11.1

11.4

1.2

1.3

1.5

5.1

-2.3

8

Total  revenue expenditure (9+11)

129.8

116.5

110.3

13.3

13.4

14.1

11.4

5.6

9

Total development expenditure

68.2

55.4

56.8

7

6.4

7.3

23.2

-2.5

10

Total social and development services 

53.2

42.9

42.7

5.4

4.9

5.5

24.2

0.5

10a

 Education

20.5

19

19

2.1

Reference

GIFT (2020) Economic and Fiscal shock of COVID-19 on Kerala- Socio-economic Response and Macro Economic Recovery, Gulati Institute of Finance and Taxation, Thiruvananthapuram PP- 49-50

Government of Kerala (2020) COVID-19 Pandemic and Kerala: A Response Strategy, Finance Department, Government of Kerala, Thiruvananthapuram.