Weekly Updates on the Indian Economy
(18/09/2021 to 24/09/2021)
- National Accounts and State of the Economy
- Covid may push India growth model from consumption driven to investment-led
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/covid-may-push-india-growth-model-from-consumption-driven-to-investment-led-121091800313_1.html
- Consumer confidence rally in Sep shows 2% points upswing: Survey
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/consumer-confidence-rally-in-sep-shows-2-points-upswing-survey-121091900667_1.html
- Labour codes unlikely to be implemented this fiscal year: report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/labour-codes-unlikely-to-be-implemented-this-fiscal-year-report-121091900213_1.html
- India's income divide narrows, wealth divide persists: Survey data
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-income-divide-narrows-wealth-divide-persists-survey-data-121092000448_1.html
- Hiring activity witnesses marginal growth sequentially in August: Report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/hiring-activity-witnesses-marginal-growth-sequentially-in-august-report-121092000560_1.html
- Recovery tracker: Power generation and freight data show slower growth
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/recovery-tracker-power-generation-and-freight-data-show-slower-growth-121092000810_1.html
- Deloitte survey pegs average salary increment in India at 8.6% in 2022
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/deloitte-survey-pegs-average-salary-increment-in-india-at-8-6-in-2022-121092000755_1.html
- High frequency indicators turn 'uneven' in Aug as unlock benefits taper
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/high-frequency-indicators-turn-uneven-in-aug-as-unlock-benefits-taper-121092000976_1.html
- Statsguru: Five charts explain India's household balance sheet
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/statsguru-five-charts-explain-india-s-household-balance-sheet-121092000032_1.html
- ADB trims India's FY22 growth forecast to 10% on second wave impact
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/adb-trims-india-s-fy22-growth-forecast-to-10-on-second-wave-impact-121092200724_1.html
- OECD trims India's economic growth forecast to 9.7% for FY22
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/oecd-trims-india-s-economic-growth-forecast-to-9-7-for-fy22-121092101423_1.html
- Rising inequality due to Covid pandemic must be bridged: RBI Governor
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/widening-wealth-gap-due-to-pandemic-must-be-bridged-rbi-governor-121092201065_1.html
- States lift 83% of foodgrains out of 60 mn tonne allocated under PMGKAY
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/states-lift-83-of-foodgrains-out-of-60-mn-tonne-allocated-under-pmgkay-121092201312_1.html
- PMUY 2.0 nears 10 mn LPG connections target, 9.5 mn KYCs already in place
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/pmuy-2-0-nears-10-mn-lpg-connections-target-9-5-mn-kycs-already-in-place-121092200602_1.html
- Finance Ministry to seek ratings upgrade for India in meeting with Moody's
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/finance-ministry-plans-to-seek-ratings-upgrade-in-moody-s-sept-28-meeting-121092300310_1.html
- Upper middle class to revive consumption cycle again soon: Report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/upper-middle-class-to-revive-consumption-cycle-again-soon-report-121092300980_1.html
- Employment recovery for salaried class excruciatingly slow: CMIE
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/employment-recovery-for-salaried-class-excruciatingly-slow-cmie-121092301584_1.html
- See formal sector at pre-Covid level by year-end: Montek Singh Ahluwalia
https://www.business-standard.com/article/pti-stories/indian-economy-has-bottomed-out-formal-sector-may-get-back-to-pre-covid-level-by-this-year-end-montek-121092301170_1.html
- China manipulated Ease of Doing Business rankings, no irregularities found in Indian data
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/china-manipulated-ease-of-doing-business-rankings-no-irregularities-found-in-indian-data/articleshow/86393007.cms
- Nomura India Business Resumption Index plateaus in September
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/nomura-india-business-resumption-index-plateaus-in-september/articleshow/86392731.cms
- Icra expects consumer demand to pick up in festive season
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/icra-expects-consumer-demand-to-pick-up-in-festive-season/articleshow/86378817.cms
- Interview: Ashwini Deshpande on the need for Indian economists to grapple with discrimination
https://scroll.in/article/1005644/interview-ashwini-deshpande-on-the-need-for-indian-economists-to-grapple-with-discrimination
- With New ‘Industrial Relations’ Code, What Does the Future Look Like for India’s Trade Unions?
https://thewire.in/labour/with-new-industrial-relations-code-what-does-the-future-look-like-for-indias-trade-unions
- India expected to show faster economic recovery in 2022
https://theprint.in/economy/india-expected-to-show-faster-economic-recovery-in-2022/737013/
- Data hegemony by digital companies may lead to attention economy: CCI chief Ashok Gupta
https://theprint.in/economy/data-hegemony-by-digital-companies-may-lead-to-attention-economy-cci-chief-ashok-gupta/738947/
- Job postings in August grew 14% y-o-y: Monster
https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/job-postings-in-august-up-fourteen-percent-yoy-monster/article36566618.ece
- Public Finance
- Feasible fiscal strategies for India
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/columns/ashima-goyal/feasible-fiscal-strategies-for-india/article36553799.ece
- FinMin to kick-start exercise for Union Budget 2022-23 on October 12
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/finmin-to-kick-starts-exercise-for-union-budget-2022-23-on-october-12-121092001070_1.html
- Borrowing by state govts 11% lower than last year: CARE Ratings
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/borrowing-by-state-govts-11-lower-than-last-year-care-ratings-121092200025_1.html
Taxation
- GST Council meet: No compensation for States after June; fuel kept out of ambit
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/gst-council-extends-concessional-tax-rates-on-covid-drugs-till-dec-31-5-per-cent-tax-levied-on-food-delivery-apps/article36522795.ece
- States slam FM plan to not extend GST compensation after June 2022
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/states-slam-fm-plan-to-not-extend-gst-compensation-after-june-2022-121091900902_1.html
- GST rate changes, clarifications a ‘mixed bag’ for industry
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/policy/gst-rate-changes-clarifications-a-mixed-bag-for-industry/article36524712.ece
- Tamil Nadu against bringing petrol, diesel under GST
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/policy/tamil-nadu-opposes-bringing-petrol-diesel-under-gst/article36524806.ece
- Anti-profiteering body gets 1-year extension
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/national/anti-profiteering-body-gets-1-year-extension/article36554082.ece
- STT collection in the first five-and-a-half months close to ₹11,000 crore
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/stt-collection-in-the-first-five-and-a-half-months-close-to-11000-crore/article36565021.ece
- GST: FinMin circular soon to clarify ‘intermediary services’ issues
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/policy/finmin-to-soon-issue-circular-on-intermediary-services-under-gst/article36572326.ece
- Managerial and leadership services to site offices, group firms to attract GST: MAAR
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/managerial-and-leadership-services-to-site-officesgroup-companies-taxable-under-gst-maar/article36607840.ece
- GST panel to consider giving waiver on one day interest, late fee
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/gst-panel-to-consider-giving-waiver-on-one-day-interest-late-fee-121092101091_1.html
- India, other G24 nations call for gradual withdrawal of 'Google tax'
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-other-g24-member-nations-back-gradual-google-tax-pullback-121092201300_1.html
- GST on ice cream parlours may lead to litigation, say experts
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/gst-on-ice-cream-parlours-may-lead-to-litigation-say-experts-121092100026_1.html
- From next year, non-filers of monthly GST return will be barred from filing GSTR-1
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/from-next-year-non-filers-of-monthly-gst-return-will-be-barred-from-filing-gstr-1/articleshow/86314816.cms
- Swiggy, Zomato to collect 5% GST on deliveries, food not to get dearer
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/swiggy-zomato-to-collect-5-gst-on-deliveries-food-not-to-get-dearer/articleshow/86299971.cms
- Banking and Monetary Policy
- NMP — Unlocking the hidden fortune
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/nmp-unlocking-the-hidden-fortune/article36554186.ece
- Making the banking sector more vibrant
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/making-the-banking-sector-more-vibrant/article36571944.ece
- Cryptocurrencies are so popular in India that teenagers are investing their pocket money in them
https://scroll.in/article/1005988/cryptocurrencies-are-so-popular-in-india-that-teenagers-are-investing-their-pocket-money-in-them
- Retail depositors earning negative returns; relook taxation on interest: SBI economists
https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/retail-depositors-earning-negative-returns-relook-taxation-on-interest-sbi-economists/article36595747.ece
- External Sector
- Why crisis for exporters could turn out to be a boon for shipping industry
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/why-crisis-for-exporters-could-turn-out-to-be-a-boon-for-shipping-industry-121092000020_1.html
- Most FDI proposals in 3 depts from nations sharing land border with India
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/most-fdi-proposals-in-3-depts-from-nations-sharing-land-border-with-india-121091900328_1.html
- FDI key to India's aspiration to be a $5 trn economy, says Deloitte CEO
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/fdi-key-to-india-s-aspiration-to-be-a-5-trn-economy-says-deloitte-ceo-121092000100_1.html
- India's oil imports rose to four-month high in August, shows data
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-oil-imports-rose-to-four-month-high-in-august-shows-data-121092200013_1.html
- Post pandemic, global trade is vital for economic recovery: RBI governor
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/post-pandemic-global-trade-is-vital-for-economic-recovery-rbi-governor-121092200870_1.html
- India, UAE plan to lift bilateral trade to $100 bn in 5 years via new pact
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-uae-plan-to-lift-bilateral-trade-to-100-bn-in-5-years-via-new-pact-121092201220_1.html
- TN eyes $100 billion exports by 2030, signs MoUs worth Rs 2,120.54 crore
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/tn-eyes-100-billion-exports-by-2030-signs-mous-worth-rs-2-120-54-crore-121092201198_1.html
- FDI equity inflows up 112% to $20.42 bln in Apr-July period: Govt data
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/fdi-equity-inflows-up-112-to-20-42-bln-in-apr-july-period-govt-data-121092201329_1.html
- Govt caps entitlement under service export scheme during FY20 at Rs 5 crore
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/govt-caps-entitlement-under-service-export-scheme-during-fy20-at-rs-5-crore/articleshow/86456763.cms
- India's copper import rises 26% in Q1; momentum expected to continue further: Report
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/indias-copper-import-rises-26-in-q1-momentum-expected-to-continue-further-report/articleshow/86337949.cms
- Traders list 240 goods for free trade agreement talks with UK
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/traders-list-240-goods-for-free-trade-agreement-talks-with-uk/articleshow/86379280.cms
- Swiss gold exports to India surges to 5-month high in August
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/swiss-gold-exports-to-india-surges-to-5-month-high-in-august/articleshow/86393617.cms
- India’s exports to EU declined in the last 20 years, accounts for mere 0.9% of the total imports of EU
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/indias-exports-to-eu-declined-in-the-last-20-years-accounts-for-mere-0-9-of-the-total-imports-of-eu/articleshow/86450599.cms
- Allow food security schemes sans limits, end farm subsidies above $10 billion in 3 years: India to WTO
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/allow-food-security-schemes-sans-limits-end-farm-subsidies-above-10-billion-in-3-years-india-to-wto/articleshow/86452075.cms
- Agriculture and Rural Economy
- Kharif area trails despite late surge in paddy
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/kharif-area-trails-despite-late-surge-in-paddy/article36522347.ece
- TN opposes move to hike GST on coconut oil in less-than-1-litre pack to 18%
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/tn-opposes-move-to-hike-gst-on-coconut-oil-in-less-than-1-litre-pack-to-18/article36524814.ece
- How important is MSP-based procurement?
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/columns/c-p-chandrasekhar/how-important-is-msp-based-procurement/article36571723.ece
- Kharif output seen at record 150.5 mt
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/kharif-output-seen-at-record-1505-m-t/article36596612.ece
- Rice exports lose steam this quarter
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/rice-exports-from-india-lose-steam-in-the-current-quarter/article36605558.ece
- Retail inflation for farm, rural workers eases marginally in August
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/retail-inflation-for-farm-rural-workers-eases-marginally-in-august-121092001102_1.html
- Govt sets 307.33 mt foodgrain production target for 2021-22 crop year
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/govt-sets-307-33-mt-foodgrain-production-target-for-2021-22-crop-year-121092101305_1.html
- Agricultural and processed food exports up 21.8% in April-August: Govt
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/agricultural-and-processed-food-exports-up-21-8-in-april-august-govt/articleshow/86400089.cms
- Higher investment required in agri R&D: India says at G20 agri meet
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/higher-investment-required-in-agri-rd-india-says-at-g20-agri-meet/articleshow/86320069.cms
- 12 crore farmers benefited from PM-Kisan, 2.5 core in UP alone: Radha Mohan Singh
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/12-crore-farmers-benefited-from-pm-kisan-2-5-core-in-up-alone-radha-mohan-singh/articleshow/86315916.cms
- What the Latest NSS Survey Tells us About the State of Farmers in India
https://thewire.in/agriculture/what-the-latest-nss-survey-tells-us-about-the-state-of-farmers-in-india
- Industry, Manufacturing, Services and Technology
- Telecom industry gets a timely lifeline
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/making-the-banking-sector-more-vibrant/article36571944.ece
- Road length rises 17% to 6.39 mn km, registered vehicles 41% in 2015-19
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/road-length-rises-17-to-6-39-mn-km-registered-vehicles-41-in-2015-19-121092101044_1.html
- India has collaborated with several nations across sectors to become a global leader in innovation: NITI Aayog CEO Amitabh Kant
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/india-has-collaborated-with-several-nations-across-sectors-to-become-a-global-leader-in-innovation-niti-aayog-ceo-amitabh-kant/articleshow/86397556.cms
- Indian innovation ecosystem driven by knowledge economy, marketplace-led research, AI: Saraswat
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/indian-innovation-ecosystem-driven-by-knowledge-economy-marketplace-led-research-ai-saraswat/articleshow/86397714.cms
- India's crude oil production falls 2.3% in August, gas output rises
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-crude-oil-production-falls-2-3-in-august-gas-output-rises-121092201033_1.html
- Big push to infra, education, healthcare needed for sustainable growth: Das
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/big-push-to-infra-education-healthcare-needed-for-sustainable-growth-das-121092201126_1.html
- India's mineral production up 23% in June, says mines ministry
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-mineral-production-up-23-in-june-says-mines-ministry-121092201290_1.html
- Exports of software services up 2.1% to $148.3 bn in 2020-21: RBI survey
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/exports-of-software-services-up-2-1-to-148-3-bn-in-2020-21-rbi-survey-121092001318_1.html
- 18 depts, 9 states onboard single window portal, India’s ease of doing biz story phenomenal: Goyal
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/18-depts-9-states-onboard-single-window-portal-indias-ease-of-doing-biz-story-phenomenal-goyal/articleshow/86424616.cms
- Gains from PLI should be more durable: RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/gains-from-pli-should-be-more-durable-rbi-governor-shaktikanta-das/articleshow/86426142.cms
- Columns by Paul Krugman/ Joseph Stiglitz
- Covid-19 and Human Freedom
https://www.nepalitimes.com/opinion/covid-19-and-human-freedom/
- Getting Finance Onside for Climate
https://www.project-syndicate.org/onpoint/green-finance-depends-on-government-intervention-by-joseph-e-stiglitz-2021-09
- Ending the Race to the Bottom
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2021-09-17/ending-race-bottom
- Opinion | Dear Joe Manchin: Coal Isn’t Your State’s Future
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/20/opinion/joe-manchin-coal-climate-biden.html
- The Child Tax Credit Should Be Permanent - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/21/opinion/child-tax-credit-poverty.html
- Other Articles/ Columns
- Covid-19 and mental health: Focus on children’s holistic development
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/human-development/covid-19-and-mental-health-focus-on-children-s-holistic-development.html
- Covid-19 and mental health: How have children been faring?
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/human-development/covid-19-and-mental-health-how-have-children-been-faring.html
- Covid-19 and mental health: Strengthening psychosocial well-being of children
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/human-development/covid-19-and-mental-health-strengthening-psychosocial-well-being-of-children.html
- Covid-19 and mental health: Fighting the “infodemic”, one phone call at a time
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/human-development/covid-19-and-mental-health-fighting-the-infodemic-one-phone-call-at-a-time.html
- Covid-19 and mental health: Improving women’s mental well-being via telecounselling
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/human-development/covid-19-and-mental-health-improving-women-s-mental-well-being-via-telecounseling.html
- Covid-19 and mental health: Large-scale phone survey in six Indian states
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/human-development/covid-19-and-mental-health-large-scale-phone-survey-in-six-indian-states.html
- Growing Distress and a Falling Unemployment Rate
https://www.theindiaforum.in/article/rising-distress-and-falling-unemployment-rate-what-going?utm_source=website&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=category&utm_content=Economy
- A Rocky Road to Resolution
Achievements and struggles of India’s Insolvency Code
https://www.theindiaforum.in/article/rocky-road-resolution?utm_source=website&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=homepage&utm_content=Top-article
Commentary
- District-level Estimates of Unemployment Rates in Odisha
An Empirical Study Using PLFS 2018–19 Data
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/38/commentary/district-level-estimates-unemployment-rates-odisha.html
- Using Public Procurement Strategically
Lessons from the Pandemic
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/38/commentary/using-public-procurement-strategically.html
- Nine Years of Turmoil in Taxation
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/38/commentary/nine-years-turmoil-taxation.html
Special Articles
- Why Human Development Should Precede Economic Growth in the States
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/38/special-articles/why-human-development-should-precede-economic.html
- Resolving Disagreements in Panchayats
Elected Representatives and Local Bureaucracy Interface in West Bengal
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/38/special-articles/resolving-disagreements-panchayats.html
- Drivers of Foodgrain Productivity in Uttar Pradesh
Panel Data Analysis
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/38/special-articles/drivers-foodgrain-productivity-uttar-pradesh.html
- Taming the Stagflationary Winds
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/global-stagflation-risk-and-policy-response-by-mohamed-a-el-erian-2021-09?a_la=english&a_d=614b196ada5d8b1044fbeec7&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=global-stagflation-risk-and-policy-response-by-mohamed-a-el-erian-2021-09&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
- The Developing World's Hidden Inflation Risks
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/developing-world-hidden-inflation-risks-by-rabah-arezki-and-jean-pierre-landau-2-2021-09?a_la=english&a_d=614b4a35da5d8b1044bce224&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=developing-world-hidden-inflation-risks-by-rabah-arezki-and-jean-pierre-landau-2-2021-09&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
- Natural-gas prices are spiking around the world
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/natural-gas-prices-are-spiking-around-the-world/21804953
- How threatening are the high levels of corporate debt?
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/09/23/how-threatening-are-the-high-levels-of-corporate-debt
- America’s debt ceiling is a disaster, though fiscal rules can help
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/09/25/americas-debt-ceiling-is-a-disaster-though-fiscal-rules-can-help
- Why it is wise to add bitcoin to an investment portfolio
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/09/25/why-it-is-wise-to-add-bitcoin-to-an-investment-portfolio
- News on Kerala
- Kerala FM seeks extension of GST compensation regime
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/national/kerala-fm-seeks-extension-of-gst-compensation-regime/article36531278.ece
- Gujarat, Kerala, TN top Food Safety Index 2020-21
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/policy/gujarat-kerala-tn-top-food-safety-index-2020-21/article36572706.ece
Print Sources: The Hindu, Business Line, Business Standard, Economic Times, Indian Express
Online: Livemint, Scroll.in, The Wire, The Print, The India Forum, Newyork Times, Ideas for India,
Journals: Economic and Political Weekly, The Economist, Project Syndicate