Weekly Updates on the Indian Economy
(09/10/2021 to 15/10/2021)
- National Accounts and State of the Economy
- India on path to swift recovery: FinMin report
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/india-on-path-to-swift-recovery-says-finance-ministry-report/article36939315.ece
- Rising Sept inflation for clothes, footwear signals return of demand
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/rising-sept-inflation-for-clothes-footwear-signals-return-of-demand/article36990852.ece
- IMF retains India’s growth forecast for FY22 at 9.5%
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/imf-retains-indias-growth-forecast-for-fy22-at-95/article36965900.ece
- Indian job market up 57% annually in Sept ahead of festive season: Naukri
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/indian-job-market-up-57-annually-in-sept-ahead-of-festive-season-naukri-121100900604_1.html
- Why Moody's improved outlook on India might require a discerning look
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/why-moody-s-improved-outlook-on-india-might-require-a-discerning-look-121101000928_1.html
- Tax collections to foreign trade, economic recovery maintains momentum
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/tax-collections-to-foreign-trade-economic-recovery-maintains-momentum-121101200093_1.html
- Retail inflation eases to 4.35% in Sept; IIP grows 11.9% in August
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/retail-inflation-eases-to-4-35-in-sept-iip-grows-11-9-in-august-121101201079_1.html
- India retains 3rd position in RE investment attractiveness index
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-retains-3rd-position-in-re-investment-attractiveness-index-121101300665_1.html
- Retail sales near pre-Covid levels with 96% recovery: RAI
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/retail-sales-near-pre-covid-levels-with-96-recovery-rai-121101300714_1.html
- Indian economy is recovering from Covid-19 crisis: World Bank President
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/indian-economy-is-recovering-from-covid-19-crisis-world-bank-president-121101301196_1.html
- FM Sitharaman says India looking at near double-digit growth this year
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/fm-sitharaman-says-india-looking-at-near-double-digit-growth-this-year-121101400060_1.html
- WPI-based inflation falls in Sep, but stays in double digits at 10.66%
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/wpi-based-inflation-falls-in-sep-but-stays-in-double-digits-at-10-66-121101400642_1.html
- RBI monetary policy: Report pegs FY23's economic growth at 7.8%
https://www.business-standard.com/article/finance/rbi-monetary-policy-report-pegs-fy23-s-economic-growth-at-7-8-121100900039_1.html
- Vaccine access for all key to global recovery, FM Nirmala Sitharaman tells G20 peers
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/vaccine-access-for-all-key-to-global-recovery-fm-nirmala-sitharaman-tells-g20-peers/articleshow/87034055.cms
- Sitharaman, Yellen discuss fighting money laundering, combating terror funding; importance of effective implementation of FATF standards
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/sitharaman-yellen-discuss-fighting-money-laundering-combating-terror-funding-importance-of-effective-implementation-of-fatf-standards/articleshow/87036590.cms
- Economy on steady track, coal crisis temporary, says finance secretary TV Somanathan
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/economy-on-steady-track-coal-crisis-temporary-says-finance-secretary-tv-somanathan/articleshow/86981497.cms
- UN, World Bank, IMF in need of urgent reforms: Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/un-world-bank-imf-in-need-of-urgent-reforms-finance-minister-nirmala-sitharaman/articleshow/86985302.cms
- India in a much better position to handle taper now than 2013: Former RBI governor D Subbarao
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/india-in-a-much-better-position-to-handle-taper-now-than-2013-former-rbi-governor-d-subbarao/articleshow/86995670.cms
- Indian economy poised to attain double-digit growth in FY22: PHDCCI
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/indian-economy-poised-to-attain-double-digit-growth-in-fy22-phdcci/articleshow/86939895.cms
- Indian economy is recovering from COVID-19 crisis; says World Bank President
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/indian-economy-is-recovering-from-covid-19-crisis-says-world-bank-president/articleshow/86996289.cms
- Employment under MGNREGA in September falls to lowest since Covid outbreak
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/employment-under-mgnrega-in-september-falls-to-lowest-since-covid-outbreak/articleshow/87013482.cms
- Consumer sentiments improve in October so far: CMIE
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/consumer-sentiments-improve-in-october-so-far-cmie/articleshow/87017392.cms
- Explainer: Why the world is experiencing a sudden energy crisis
https://scroll.in/article/1007526/explainer-why-the-world-is-experiencing-a-sudden-energy-crisis
- India’s inflation worries are not over even if the future looks a little brighter
https://scroll.in/article/1007367/indias-inflation-worries-are-not-over-even-if-the-future-looks-a-little-brighter
- Where do Indian banks stand in the global fight against climate change?
https://scroll.in/article/1007245/where-do-indian-banks-stand-in-the-global-fight-against-climate-change
- How the Government Can Strengthen the Digital Welfare Ecosystem for Unorganised Workers
https://thewire.in/government/eshram-portal-aadhaar-digital-india-unorganised-workers
- As Power Crisis Loomed, Coal Secretary Put Coal India Ltd in the Dock
https://thewire.in/economy/as-power-crisis-loomed-coal-secretary-put-coal-india-limited-on-the-dock
- ‘Pakoda’ Employment Has Increased Poverty Over the Last Eight Years
https://thewire.in/economy/pakoda-employment-has-increased-poverty-over-the-last-eight-years
- India must focus on green public investment for inclusive recovery, IMF says
https://theprint.in/economy/india-must-focus-on-green-public-investment-for-inclusive-recovery-imf-says/750427/
- Small units pack up, weavers prefer to be guards: How Covid ruined Karnataka garment industry
https://theprint.in/economy/small-units-pack-up-weavers-prefer-to-be-guards-how-covid-ruined-karnataka-garment-industry/750135/
- Data | Jobs increase in rural India in September
https://www.thehindu.com/data/data-jobs-increase-in-rural-india-in-september/article36917306.ece
- India's economy recovered very fast after tough phase of Covid pandemic: PM
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-economy-recovered-very-fast-after-tough-phase-of-covid-pandemic-pm-121101500607_1.html
- India slips to 101st rank in Global Hunger Index 2021; behind Pak, B'desh
https://www.business-standard.com/article/pti-stories/india-slips-to-101st-rank-in-global-hunger-index-2021-behind-pak-b-desh-and-nepal-121101401326_1.html
- Public Finance
- Revenue Deficit Grant of Rs 9,871 crore released to 17 states
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/revenue-deficit-grant-of-rs-9-871-crore-released-to-17-states-121101100838_1.html
- Govt debt likely to breach 90% of GDP this year, says IMF report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/govt-debt-likely-to-breach-90-of-gdp-this-year-says-imf-report-121101400064_1.html
Taxation
- India to do away with equalisation levy once new global tax pact falls into place
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/india-to-do-away-with-equalisation-levy-once-new-global-tax-pact-falls-into-place/article36916020.ece
- SC stay on GST on mining lease, royalty may impact other sectors, say experts
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/sc-stay-on-gst-on-mining-lease-royalty-may-impact-other-sectors-say-experts/article36992682.ece#:~:text=A%20Supreme%20Court%20stay%20on,sector%20and%20casinos%20as%20well.&text=The%20levy%20position%20was%20clarified,GST%20Council%20on%20September%2017.
- Govt may consider higher GST, fewer rates to simplify structure: Report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/govt-may-consider-higher-gst-fewer-rates-to-simplify-structure-report-121101200126_1.
- USISPF lauds India's role in global minimum corporate tax
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/usispf-lauds-indias-role-in-global-minimum-corporate-tax/articleshow/87000114.cms
- GSTN blocks Rs 14,000-crore input tax credits of 66,000 taxpayers
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/gstn-blocks-rs-14000-crore-input-tax-credits-of-66000-taxpayers/articleshow/86965100.cms
- 136 Nations Including India Agree to a Minimum Global Tax Rate of 15%
https://thewire.in/world/minimum-global-tax-rate-of-15-136-nations-india-tax-havens
- Banking and Monetary Policy
- RBI turns to mopping up liquidity
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/rbi-turns-to-mopping-up-liquidity/article36905141.ece
- Maintaining status quo on rates will help further revive economy: Bankers
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/maintaining-status-quo-on-rates-will-help-further-revive-economy-bankers/article36903560.ece
- RBI hikes IMPS daily transaction limit to ₹5 lakh
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/rbi-hikes-imps-daily-transaction-limit-to-5-lakh/article36903557.ece
- A journey towards monetary normalization
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/a-journey-towards-monetary-normalisation/article36901320.ece
- Bond market concerned about Reserve Bank’s liquidity management
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/bond-market-concerned-about-reserve-banks-liquidity-management/article36932187.ece
- Is the sun setting on ATMs?
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/is-the-sun-setting-on-atms/article36949441.ece
- AUMs of gold-loan NBFCs to rise 18–20%: Crisil Ratings
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/aums-of-nbfcs-to-rise-1820-y-o-y-this-fiscal-crisil-ratings/article36968227.ece
- Bank credit to grow at 7.5–8% in FY22: CARE Ratings
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/bank-credit-to-grow-at-75-80-per-cent-for-fy22-care-ratings/article36938030.ece
- Statsguru: Charting key factors, challenges behind India's credit ratings
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/statsguru-charting-key-factors-challenges-behind-india-s-credit-ratings-121101000994_1.html
- Icra slashes growth forecast for auto parts industry to 17-20% for FY22
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/icra-slashes-growth-forecast-for-auto-parts-industry-to-17-20-for-fy22-121101100605_1.html
- India fast moving towards full Capital account convertibility: RBI
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/india-fast-moving-towards-full-capital-account-convertibility-rbi/articleshow/87022267.cms
- External Sector
- FPIs trim exposure to banking, financial stocks in H1 of FY22
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/stock-markets/fpis-trim-exposure-to-banking-financial-stocks-in-h1-of-fy22/article36932919.ece
- Govt may share data on import surges with industry
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/govt-may-share-data-on-import-surges-with-industry-to-promote-local-substitution/article36949694.ece
- Why the Ports Bill is raising States’ hackles
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/why-the-ports-bill-is-raising-states-hackles/article36969202.ece
- India-China trade volumes on course to touch record $100 billion-mark
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-china-trade-volumes-on-course-to-touch-record-100-billion-mark-121101301244_1.html
- Trade deficit at all-time high of $23 bn in Sept on festive season imports
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/trade-deficit-at-all-time-high-of-23-bn-in-sept-on-festive-season-imports-121101401344_1.html
- Sept trade gap at 14-year high, goods exports grow 22.76%
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/indias-september-trade-deficit-widens-to-record-22-6-billion/articleshow/87021447.cms
- Aggressive marketing, timely roll out of FTAs to help exports touch $500 billion: Exporters
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/aggressive-marketing-timely-roll-out-of-ftas-to-help-exports-touch-500-billion-exporters/articleshow/86911390.cms
- Exim Bank targets $7 billion financing of project exports over 5 years
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/exim-bank-targets-7-billion-financing-of-project-exports-over-5-years/articleshow/86990884.cms
- India cuts import duty on cooking oils; September imports of palm oil are highest single month imports in 25 years
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/india-cuts-import-duty-on-cooking-oils-september-imports-of-palm-oil-are-highest-single-month-imports-in-25-years/articleshow/86994316.cms
- What Should the Future of Indian Banking Look Like?
https://thewire.in/economy/what-should-the-future-of-indian-banking-look-like
- Trade imbalances, then pandemic — why Modi govt changed strategy on free trade agreements
https://theprint.in/economy/trade-imbalances-then-pandemic-why-modi-govt-changed-strategy-on-free-trade-agreements/749740/
- Agriculture and Rural Economy
- Animal husbandry needs greater attention
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/columns/g-chandrashekhar/animal-husbandry-needs-greater-attention/article36969789.ece
- ₹28,655-crore Centre’s subsidy on fertilisers for rabi season to benefit farmers, industry
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/28655-crore-centres-subsidy-on-fertilisers-for-rabi-season-to-benefit-farmers-industry/article36991956.ece
- Fertiliser subsidy in rabi season to benefit farmers, industry: ICRA
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/fertiliser-subsidy-in-rabi-season-to-benefit-farmers-industry-icra-121101301091_1.html
- Industry, Manufacturing, Services and Technology
- How a bunch of start-ups are disrupting the traditional poultry, meat industry
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/companies/how-a-bunch-of-start-ups-are-disrupting-the-traditional-poultry-meat-industry/article36936902.ece
- Centre scraps import duty on crude edible oils, lowers agri cess
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/commodities/centre-cuts-duty-on-crude-edible-oils-to-zero-to-rein-in-surging-prices/article36981846.ece
- NCR likely to shrink as 'Draft Regional Plan 2041' approved
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/ncr-likely-to-shrink-as-draft-regional-plan-2041-approved-121101201569_1.html
- Institutional investment in realty up 17% in July-Sep to $721 mn: Report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/institutional-investment-in-realty-up-17-in-july-sep-to-721-mn-report-121101300667_1.html
- Factory output surges 11.9 per cent in August
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/factory-output-surges-to-11-9-per-cent-in-august/articleshow/86966788.cms
- The Myth of Atmanirbhar Bharat in Defence Manufacturing
https://thewire.in/political-economy/the-myth-of-atmanirbhar-bharat-in-defence-manufacturing
- PE investment in real estate up 24% YoY in July-Sept at Rs 3,500 cr: Report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/pe-investment-in-real-estate-up-24-yoy-in-july-sept-at-rs-3-500-cr-report-121101500601_1.html
- Gati Shakti master plan may help cut logistics cost to 8% of GDP
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/gati-shakti-master-plan-may-help-cut-logistics-cost-to-8-of-gdp-121101500037_1.html
- Columns by Paul Krugman/ Joseph Stiglitz
- A coup attempt at the IMF
https://www.tbsnews.net/thoughts/coup-attempt-imf-314218
- Why More American Workers Are Quitting - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/14/opinion/workers-quitting-wages.html
- Inside Republicans' Policy Rift With Corporate America - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/12/opinion/republicans-corporations-extremism.html
- A Deserved Nobel Economics Prize Reminds Us Facts Matter - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/11/opinion/nobel-prize-economics.html
- Opinion | Wonking Out: Coins and Credibility
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/08/opinion/coins-debt-ceiling-default.html
- Opinion | What if Things Are About to Get Better?
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/07/opinion/recovery-covid-economy.html
- The case for data-driven activist economic policies
https://www.seattletimes.com/opinion/the-case-for-data-driven-activist-economic-policies/
- Higher wages don't mean lower employment – a proof - Times of India
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/higher-wages-dont-mean-lower-employment-a-proof/articleshow/86962215.cms
- Other Articles/ Columns
- Nobel Economics Prize Goes to ‘Natural Experiments’ Pioneers
https://thewire.in/economy/nobel-economics-prize-goes-to-natural-experiments-pioneers
- Does access liberalise gender norms around phone use for rural women?
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/social-identity/does-access-liberalise-gender-norms-around-phone-use-for-rural-women.html
- Understanding the dynamics of the rupee-dollar exchange rate
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/macroeconomics/understanding-the-dynamics-of-the-rupee-dollar-exchange-rate.html
- Making Sense of India’s Measures of Unemployment
https://www.theindiaforum.in/article/india-measures-unemployment?utm_source=website&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=category&utm_content=Economy
- A Rocky Road to Resolution
Achievements and struggles of India’s Insolvency Code
https://www.theindiaforum.in/article/rocky-road-resolution?utm_source=website&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=homepage&utm_content=Top-article
- Growing Distress and a Falling Unemployment Rate
https://www.theindiaforum.in/article/rising-distress-and-falling-unemployment-rate-what-going?utm_source=website&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=category&utm_content=Economy
Commentary
- Fifteenth Finance Commission Recommendations
An Appraisal
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/41/commentary/fifteenth-finance-commission-recommendations.html
Perspectives
- Is Contraceptive Prevalence Declining in India?
An Appraisal Based on NFHS-4
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/41/perspectives/contraceptive-prevalence-declining-india.html
Special Articles
- Export-induced Loss in Employment and Earnings during the First Year of the COVID-19 Pandemic
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/41/special-articles/export-induced-loss-employment-and-earnings-during.html
- An Evidence-based Inquiry into the Endosulfan Tragedy in Kasaragod, Kerala
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/41/special-articles/evidence-based-inquiry-endosulfan-tragedy.html
- Analysing Core Indicators of Decent Work for the Indian Fisheries Sector
https://www.epw.in/journal/2021/41/special-articles/analysing-core-indicators-decent-work-indian.html
- China's Loss Can Be Southeast Asia's Gain
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/china-loss-of-production-can-be-gain-for-southeast-asia-by-keun-lee-2021-10?a_la=english&a_d=6163fab38235aed4ae449b10&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=china-loss-of-production-can-be-gain-for-southeast-asia-by-keun-lee-2021-10&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
- The Metamorphosis of Growth Policy
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/new-growth-policies-for-developing-countries-by-dani-rodrik-2021-10?a_la=english&a_d=616408998235aed4ae63457c&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=new-growth-policies-for-developing-countries-by-dani-rodrik-2021-10&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
- The Real Rot at the IMF
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/doing-business-scandal-highlights-deep-imf-problems-by-jayati-ghosh-2021-10?a_la=english&a_d=61656f2e266afbab515cc266&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=doing-business-scandal-highlights-deep-imf-problems-by-jayati-ghosh-2021-10&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
- The Great Supply-Chain Massacre
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/current-supply-shocks-and-2008-global-financial-crisis-by-diane-coyle-2021-10?a_la=english&a_d=61694c7ddd53b72cd279969f&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=current-supply-shocks-and-2008-global-financial-crisis-by-diane-coyle-2021-10&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
- Does anyone actually understand inflation?
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/10/09/does-anyone-actually-understand-inflation
- A different approach to investing in developing countries
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/10/09/a-different-approach-to-investing-in-developing-countries
- The Nobel prize in economics celebrates an empirical revolution
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/10/12/the-nobel-prize-in-economics-celebrates-an-empirical-revolution
- Wages are surging across the rich world
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/10/13/wages-are-surging-across-the-rich-world
- The IMF decides to keep its boss
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/10/16/the-imf-decides-to-keep-its-boss
- A new study finds that dirty money remains easy to hide
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/10/16/a-new-study-finds-that-dirty-money-remains-easy-to-hide
- Another upward force on American inflation: the housing boom
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/10/16/another-upward-force-on-american-inflation-the-housing-boom
- News on Kerala
- Kerala likely to make online payment mandatory for higher tax amounts
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/kerala-likely-to-make-online-payment-mandatory-for-higher-tax-amounts/article36927493.ece
- Govt. concerned about foreign takeover of CSB: Balagopal
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/govt-concerned-about-foreign-takeover-of-csb-balagopal/article36946192.ece
- Local bodies asked to park funds in treasury accounts
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/local-bodies-asked-to-park-funds-in-treasury-accounts/article36967001.ece
Print Sources: The Hindu, Business Line, Business Standard, Economic Times, Indian Express
Online: Livemint, Scroll.in, The Wire, The Print, The India Forum, Newyork Times, Ideas for India,
Journals: Economic and Political Weekly, The Economist, Project Syndicate