Weekly Updates on the Indian Economy
(05/02/2022 to 11/02/2022)
- National Accounts and State of the Economy
- ‘With robust collections, record tax-GDP ratio likely in FY23’
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/finmin-expects-highest-ever-tax-gdp-ratio-this-fiscal-says-revenue-secretary-tarun-bajaj/article64966670.ece#:~:text=Encouraged%20by%20the%20robust%20tax,and%20also%20the%20pandemic%20effect.
- MGNREGA allocation slashed by 25% to ₹72,034 cr amid rising demand for jobs
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/mnregas-allocation-fell-by-25-per-cent-amid-rising-demand-during-lockdown-heres-what-it-means/article64966421.ece
- A Budget for inclusive education
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/a-budget-for-inclusive-education/article64967640.ece
- Economy recovers from Omicron impact: NIBRI
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/economy-recovers-from-omicron-impact-nibri/article64970668.ece
- More than 25,000 villages still have no mobile connectivity
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/data-stories/data-focus/more-than-25000-villages-still-have-no-mobile-network-odisha-houses-more-than-6000-of-them/article64970495.ece#:~:text=According%20to%20the%202011%20census,Obligation%20Fund%20(USOF)%20schemes.
- Nearly half of urban women are obese: Study
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/data-stories/nearly-half-of-urban-women-are-obese-says-study/article64996773.ece
- RBI’s inflation projection for FY23 lower than anticipated: Economists
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/rbis-inflation-projection-for-fy23-lower-than-anticipated-economists/article64999723.ece
- The RBI’s sanguine inflation bet
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/the-rbis-sanguine-inflation-bet/article65000406.ece
- Labour code may cap allowances at 75% of wages in first year, 50% over next three years
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/labour-code-may-cap-allowances-at-75-of-wages-in-first-year-50-over-next-three-years/articleshow/89395042.cms
- RBI leaves key lending rates unchanged; projects 7.8% GDP growth for FY23
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/rbi-leaves-key-lending-rates-unchanged-projects-7-8-gdp-growth-for-fy23/articleshow/89471563.cms
- Govt contained retail inflation at 6.2% despite biggest contraction in economy: Sitharaman
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/govt-contained-retail-inflation-at-6-2-despite-biggest-contraction-in-economy-sitharaman/articleshow/89496112.cms
- India GDP estimated at Rs 147.5 lakh crore in FY22: Chaudhary
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/india-gdp-estimated-at-rs-147-5-lakh-crore-in-fy22-chaudhary/articleshow/89410935.cms
- RBI sees retail inflation at 4.5% in FY23; sees inflation peaking in the current quarter
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/rbi-sees-retail-inflation-at-4-5-in-fy23-sees-inflation-peaking-in-the-current-quarter/articleshow/89470767.cms
- January consumer sentiment index reflects lesser improvement in expectations, CMIE data shows
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/january-consumer-sentiment-index-reflects-lesser-improvement-in-expectations-cmie-data-shows/articleshow/89476139.cms
- Omicron Impact: 'Some loss' in economic activity momentum, says RBI Guv
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/omicron-impact-some-loss-in-economic-activity-momentum-says-rbi-guv/articleshow/89481401.cms
- Household inflation expectations sequentially down, but still high: RBI survey
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/household-inflation-expectations-sequentially-down-but-still-high-rbi-survey/articleshow/89485586.cms
- India's recovery fastest, economy managed well, says Nirmala Sitharaman
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/indias-recovery-fastest-economy-managed-well-says-nirmala-sitharaman/articleshow/89490802.cms
- ADB lends record USD 4.6 bn loans to India in 2021
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/adb-lends-record-usd-4-6-bn-loans-to-india-in-2021/articleshow/89383887.cms
- Costlier oil and subsidy fall likely to hit consumption in FY23
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/costlier-oil-and-subsidy-fall-likely-to-hit-consumption-in-fy23-122020500046_1.html
- FM Sitharaman urges India Inc to open up their purse to push growth
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/finance-minister-urges-india-inc-to-open-up-their-purse-to-push-growth-122020500960_1.html
- Union Budget reflects India's commitment on 'green future': PM Modi
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/union-budget-reflects-india-s-commitment-on-green-future-pm-modi-122020500915_1.html
- Soaring edible oil prices deal blow to India's inflation fight
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/soaring-edible-oil-prices-deal-blow-to-india-s-inflation-fight-122020900671_1.html
- Centre's GDP deflator forecast for FY23 is 3-3.5%: FM Nirmala Sitharaman
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/centre-s-gdp-deflator-forecast-for-fy23-is-3-3-5-fm-nirmala-sitharaman-122021100084_1.html
- India's internet economy poised to be $1 trn economy by 2030: RedSeer rpt
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-internet-economy-poised-to-be-1-trn-economy-by-2030-redseer-rpt-122021100173_1.html
- Higher Capex Yes, But What About Fixing India's K-Shaped Recovery?
https://thewire.in/economy/higher-capex-indian-economy-k-shaped-recovery-mgnrega-jobs
- Cut In Funds for Welfare Schemes, No Steps for Job Creation: Tharoor on Budget
https://thewire.in/politics/cut-in-funds-for-welfare-schemes-no-steps-for-job-creation-tharoor-on-budget
- What the Inevitable Scaling Down of Disinvestment Targets Says About India's Political Economy
https://thewire.in/economy/scaling-down-of-disinvestment
- Social Security For All of India's Informal Workers is Possible. Here's How.
https://thewire.in/economy/social-security-informal-workers-code-welfare
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- Public Finance
- Capex boost will have multiplier effect
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/budgets-capex-push-will-have-multiplier-effect/article64970690.ece
- Unravelling the Centre’s capital expenditure push
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/unravelling-the-centres-capital-expenditure-push/article64970694.ece
- Budget capex not as high as it sounds: Crisil
https://www.thehindu.com/business/budget-capex-not-as-high-as-it-sounds-crisil/article38404250.ece#:~:text=Credit%20rating%20agency%20Crisil%20on,as%20high%20as%20it%20sounds%E2%80%9D.&text=The%20overall%20central%20capex%20for,average%20between%20FY18%20and%20FY20.
- Growing revenues will lower fiscal deficit: Revenue Secretary
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/growing-revenues-will-lower-fiscal-deficit-revenue-secretary/articleshow/89497434.cms
- Budget's MGNREGA spend cut perplexing, capex focused on less employment intensive sectors: Ind-Ra
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/budgets-mgnrega-spend-cut-perplexing-capex-focused-on-less-employment-intensive-sectors-ind-ra/articleshow/89508037.cms
- Higher deficit, lack of clarity on fisc consolidation add risks to lowering debt: Report
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/higher-deficit-lack-of-clarity-on-fisc-consolidation-add-risks-to-lowering-debt-report/articleshow/89405402.cms
- Cost of state debt soars 41 bps to 7.24 per cent
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/cost-of-state-debt-soars-41-bps-to-7-24-per-cent/articleshow/89435845.cms
- Budget digitisation initiatives could lead to $10.7 billion spend on technology services
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/budget-digitisation-initiatives-could-lead-to-10-7-billion-spend-on-technology-services/articleshow/89458330.cms
- Finance Ministry eyes new ways to boost non-lapsable defence fund
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/finance-ministry-eyes-new-ways-to-boost-non-lapsable-defence-fund-122020700004_1.html
- Little fiscal headroom for govt to respond to future shocks: Fitch
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/little-fiscal-headroom-for-govt-to-respond-to-future-shocks-fitch-122020701306_1.html
- Budget will bring stability to economy, predictability in taxation: FM
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/budget-will-bring-stability-to-economy-predictability-in-taxation-fm-122021100422_1.html
Taxation
- Now, Govt looking to levy GST on mining of cryptocurrencies
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/cryptocurrency/government-exploring-ways-to-levy-gst-on-mining-of-cryptocurrencies/article64996507.ece
- Will focus on scrutiny, audit of GST returns in coming year: Vivek Johri, CBIC chairman
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/will-focus-on-scrutiny-audit-of-gst-returns-in-coming-year-vivek-johri-cbic-chairman/articleshow/89466069.cms
- 'Open to look into restaurants demand for higher GST rate with ITC benefit'
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/open-to-look-into-restaurants-demand-for-higher-gst-rate-with-itc-benefit-122020901225_1.html
- Finance Minister to discuss aviation fuel’s inclusion in GST regime with States
https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/finance-minister-to-discuss-aviation-fuels-inclusion-in-gst-regime-with-states/article38388806.ece
- Banking and Monetary Policy
- ‘Today, cryptos are legal, taxable though unregulated’
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/budget/today-cryptos-are-legal-unregulated-and-taxable/article64968494.ece
- FM promises bank support to aviation, hospitality sectors
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/omicron-blues-fm-promises-to-ask-banks-to-lend-further-support-to-civil-aviation-hospitality-sectors/article64969918.ece
- No decision on bank privatisation, merger of insurance PSUs put on hold
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/no-decision-on-bank-privatisation-insurance-psus-merger-put-on-back-burner/article64971349.ece
- Pump priming the economy with credit
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/time-to-pump-prime-credit-growth/article64996391.ece
- Dovish MPC holds repo rate for durable recovery
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/dovish-mpc-holds-repo-rate-for-durable-recovery/article65000076.ece
- Cautiously progressing to introduce CBDC; do not want to rush it: RBI Governor
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/cautiously-progressing-to-introduce-cbdc-do-not-want-to-rush-it-rbi-governor/articleshow/89484438.cms
- Low interest rates and enormous liquidity in the system is a concern: D Subbarao
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/low-interest-rates-and-enormous-liquidity-in-the-system-is-a-concern-d-subbarao/articleshow/89486416.cms
- RBI believes differing policy strategy, policy stance can coexist: SBI Research
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/rbi-believes-differing-policy-strategy-policy-stance-can-coexist-sbi-report/articleshow/89501174.cms
- Green bonds to be rupee-denominated with long tenure: DEA secretary
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/green-bonds-to-be-rupee-denominated-with-long-tenure-dea-secretary/articleshow/89384330.cms
- India's official digital currency to debut by early 2023, says report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-official-digital-currency-to-debut-by-early-2023-says-report-122020600253_1.html
- Explained: The Bond Market's Post-Budget Blues
https://thewire.in/economy/explained-the-bond-markets-post-budget-blues
- Inflation Tolerance: Why RBI's Interest Rate Move Is Sparking Debate
https://thewire.in/banking/inflation-tolerance-why-rbis-interest-rate-move-is-sparking-debate
- External Sector
- India Inc’s overseas borrowings up 19% in first 9 months of FY22
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/india-incs-overseas-borrowing-jumps-19-per-cent-to-2328-billion-in-9-months-of-fy22/article64966710.ece
- Improving supply chains: India posted highest growth in import of intermediate goods in Q3 CY21
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/india-posts-highest-growth-of-intermediate-goods-imports-in-q3-2021-globally-says-wto-note/article64968407.ece#:~:text=India%20posted%20the%20highest%20growth,World%20Trade%20Organisation%20(WTO).
- Markets back to pre-Budget levels as FPI selling persists
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/markets-back-to-pre-budget-levels-as-fpis-continue-selling/article64971330.ece
- Inflows into equity MFs dipped 41% in Jan, AMFI data show
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/inflows-into-equity-mfs-dip-sharply-in-january/article64998237.ece
- RBI increases FPI limit in debt market to Rs 2.5 lakh crore
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/rbi-increases-fpi-limit-in-debt-market-to-rs-2-5-lakh-crore/articleshow/89471205.cms
- Exports rise 28.51 per cent to USD 8.67 billion during February 1-7
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/exports-rise-28-51-per-cent-to-usd-8-67-billion-during-february-1-7/articleshow/89437790.cms
- India received $339.55 billion FDI in last 5 years
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/india-received-339-55-billion-fdi-in-last-5-years/articleshow/89457741.cms
- April-November FY22 FDI inflows at $54.1 billion: Govt to Parliament
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/april-november-fy22-fdi-inflows-at-54-1-billion-govt-to-parliament/articleshow/89458072.cms
- Forex reserves rise to $631.953 billion
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/forex-reserves-rise-to-631-953-billion/articleshow/89505797.cms
- Publishing confidential export-import data may now lead you to jail
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/publishing-confidential-export-import-data-may-now-lead-you-to-jail-122020500359_1.html
- India, ASEAN can develop entire ecosystem for renewable energy: R K Singh
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-asean-can-develop-entire-ecosystem-for-renewable-energy-r-k-singh-122020701619_1.html
- Rupee slips 10 paise to close at 74.94 against US dollar post RBI Policy
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/rupee-slips-10-paise-to-close-at-74-94-against-us-dollar-post-rbi-policy-122021000947_1.html
- Agriculture and Rural Economy
- Centre may continue rice subsidy for ethanol
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/govt-may-continue-rice-subsidy-for-ethanol-to-reduce-stock/article64944944.ece
- India exports 30.68 lakh tonne sugar in October-January: AISTA
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/india-exports-30-68-lakh-tonne-sugar-in-october-january-aista/articleshow/89413135.cms
- Govt expects millet exports to increase exponentially in coming years
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/govt-expects-millet-exports-to-increase-exponentially-in-coming-years/articleshow/89432988.cms
- PMKSY scheme extended till FY'26 with Rs 4,600 crore outlay
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/pmksy-scheme-extended-till-fy26-with-rs-4600-crore-outlay/articleshow/89412985.cms
- No need for separate agriculture budget: Govt
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/no-need-for-separate-agriculture-budget-govt/articleshow/89434520.cms
- Industry, Manufacturing, Services and Technology
- Highway construction speed to be enhanced to meet next fiscal target: Road Transport Secy
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/infrastructure/highway-construction-speed-to-be-enhanced-to-meet-next-fiscal-target-road-transport-secy/articleshow/89382549.cms
- Availability of long-term finance for infrastructure projects challenge: Official
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/infrastructure/availability-of-long-term-finance-for-infrastructure-projects-challenge-official/articleshow/89459896.cms
- Textile demand momentum to continue in FY23: India Ratings
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/textile-demand-momentum-to-continue-in-fy23-india-ratings-and-research-122021001562_1.html
- India's textile industry at near capacity, raising hopes for creating jobs
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-textile-industry-at-near-capacity-raising-hopes-for-creating-jobs-122021100160_1.html
- Passenger vehicle wholesales dip 8% in Jan as semiconductor woes continue
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/passenger-vehicle-wholesales-dip-8-in-jan-as-semiconductor-woes-continue-122021100479_1.html
- India's semiconductor consumption estimated at Rs 1.1 trn in 2020: MoS IT
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-semiconductor-consumption-estimated-at-rs-1-1-trn-in-2020-mos-it-122021101495_1.html
- MSME Ministry Study Confirms Lockdown Battered Small Businesses in India
https://thewire.in/business/msme-ministry-study-confirms-lockdown-battered-small-businesses-in-india
- Data | Demand for new houses dipped during COVID waves, but prices increased
https://www.thehindu.com/data/data-demand-for-new-houses-dipped-during-covid-waves-but-prices-increased/article38383406.ece
- Rating firms have double standards, says Union Finance Secretary
https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/rating-firms-have-double-standards-says-union-finance-secretary/article38398343.ece
- Columns by Paul Krugman/ Joseph Stiglitz
- Can We Tame Inflation While Investing In the Future? - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/11/opinion/folk-economics-monetary-policy.html
- Opinion | Biden’s Hidden Health Care Triumph
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/10/opinion/biden-health-care-triumph.html
- New Economic Theories Aren't Always Better - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/08/opinion/economic-theory-monetary-policy.html
- Why the Vaccinated Are So Angry at the Unvaccinated - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/07/opinion/covid-unvaccinated-anger.html
- Opinion | Wonking Out: Are Billionaires Making Out Like Bandits?
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/04/opinion/income-wealth-inequality-pandemic.html
- Other Articles/ Columns
- Reimagining Indian federalism in the climate crisis
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/environment/reimagining-indian-federalism-in-the-climate-crisis.html
- Budget 2022-23: The elephants and the ostrich
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/human-development/budget-2022-23-the-elephants-and-the-ostrich.html
- Budget 2022-23: Is public investment-led growth strategy desirable and credible?
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/macroeconomics/budget-2022-23-is-public-investment-led-growth-strategy-desirable-and-credible.html
Commentary
- Deciphering the Indian Slip on the Global Hunger Index 2021
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/6/commentary/deciphering-indian-slip-global-hunger-index-2021.html
- Challenges and Opportunities
The Paradox of Data-based Governance
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/6/commentary/paradox-data-based-governance.html
- Building Workers under the New Labour Codes
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/6/commentary/building-workers-under-new-labour-codes.html
Special Articles
- Does India Need Vaccine Federalism?
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/6/special-articles/does-india-need-vaccine-federalism.html
- Economic Bridge Building
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/review-glenn-hubbard-wall-and-the-bridge-by-j-bradford-delong-2022-02?a_la=english&a_d=620265ce935dd34ca5cb31ec&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=review-glenn-hubbard-wall-and-the-bridge-by-j-bradford-delong-2022-02&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=&barrier=accesspaylog
- Make Capitalism Competitive Again
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/biden-meat-industry-intervention-good-news-for-competition-by-ruben-maximiano-1-2022-02?a_la=english&a_d=62039737d17cbda20c0cc107&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=biden-meat-industry-intervention-good-news-for-competition-by-ruben-maximiano-1-2022-02&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=&barrier=accesspaylog
- How to Level Up
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/uk-government-regional-inequality-leveling-up-by-diane-coyle-2022-02?a_la=english&a_d=6203c268d17cbda20ca516c7&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=uk-government-regional-inequality-leveling-up-by-diane-coyle-2022-02&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=&barrier=accesspaylog
- America's Not-So-Great Inflation
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-current-us-inflation-is-nothing-like-the-1970s-by-barry-eichengreen-2022-02?a_la=english&a_d=6204e4ded17cbda20cfae75b&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=why-current-us-inflation-is-nothing-like-the-1970s-by-barry-eichengreen-2022-02&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
- The Return of Global Inflation
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/return-of-global-inflation-by-carmen-reinhart-and-clemens-graf-von-luckner-2022-02?a_la=english&a_d=62067728a72fe630c0cb5cc7&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=return-of-global-inflation-by-carmen-reinhart-and-clemens-graf-von-luckner-2022-02&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
- China does not always collect its debts on time
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2022/02/12/china-does-not-always-collect-its-debts-on-time
- Is the modern, bank-light financial system better than the old one?
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2022/02/12/is-the-modern-bank-light-financial-system-better-than-the-old-one
- Asia is not feeling the same price pressures as the West
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2022/02/12/asia-is-not-feeling-the-same-price-pressures-as-the-west
- News on Kerala
- State needs to invest more in healthcare: expert
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/state-needs-to-invest-more-in-healthcare-expert/article38173363.ece
- Kerala’s GST department establishes virtual cadre
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/keralas-gst-department-establishes-virtual-cadre/article38391957.ece
- IIM-K, NITI Aayog ink landmark pact
https://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/kozhikode/iim-k-niti-aayog-ink-landmark-pact/article38404038.ece
- A panchayat’s progress report
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/why-this-kerala-grama-panchayat-has-published-a-status-report-of-its-achievement/article38407878.ece
- State suggests modifications to draft rubber, spices Bills
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/state-suggests-modifications-to-draft-rubber-spices-bills/article38413527.ece
- Only reasonable tariff revision mooted: KSEB
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/only-reasonable-tariff-revision-mooted-kseb/article38414253.ece
- Kerala Finance Minister urges Centre to expedite disbursal of GST compensation arrears
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/kerala-finance-minister-urges-centre-to-expedite-disbursal-of-gst-compensation-arrears/article65000342.ece#:~:text='Kerala%20Finance%20Minister%20KN%20Balagopal,tune%20of%20%E2%82%B912%2C000%20crore.
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