Weekly Updates on the Indian Economy
(30/04/2022 to 06/05/2022)
- National Accounts and State of the Economy
- India will take over a decade to overcome Covid-19 losses: RBI report
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/india-will-take-over-a-decade-to-overcome-covid-19-losses-rbi-report/article65367148.ece
- The roots of Sri Lanka’s debilitating debt trap
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/the-roots-of-sri-lankas-debilitating-debt-trap/article65376335.ece
- Understanding inflation expectations
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/understanding-inflation-expectations/article65379258.ece
- Print media revenue to grow 20-25%: Ind-Ra
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/print-media-revenue-expected-to-grow-by-20-25-per-cent-in-fy23-india-ratings/article65377845.ece
- PM Modi invites Nordic companies to invest in India’s Blue Economy
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/pm-modi-invites-nordic-companies-to-invest-in-indias-blue-economy/article65382153.ece
- India emerged stronger despite huge loss due to Covid: Rajeev Chandrasekhar
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-emerged-stronger-despite-huge-loss-due-to-covid-rajeev-chandrasekhar-122043000398_1.html
- Yogi govt to provide one job to every farmer family in Uttar Pradesh
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/yogi-govt-to-provide-one-job-to-every-farmer-family-in-uttar-pradesh-122050100151_1.html
- Eminent economist Suman Bery takes charge as Niti Aayog Vice Chairman
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/eminent-economist-suman-bery-takes-charge-as-niti-aayog-vice-chairman-122050100174_1.html
- As India's Covid-19 cases inch up, recreation and shopping visits show dip
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/recovery-tracker-lower-mobility-vehicle-registrations-122050200703_1.html
- India's unemployment rate rose to 7.83% in April, shows CMIE data
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-unemployment-rate-rose-to-7-83-in-april-shows-cmie-data-122050201088_1.html
- India's $5-trillion economy dream: Not before FY29, says IMF
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-5-trillion-economy-dream-not-before-fy29-says-imf-122050300020_1.html
- Experts not convinced about CMIE's unemployment data for April
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/experts-not-convinced-about-cmie-s-unemployment-data-for-april-122050300851_1.html
- Inflationary pressures likely to continue on geopolitical tensions: RBI
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/inflationary-pressures-likely-to-continue-on-geopolitical-tensions-rbi-122050400731_1.html
- Growth to be in range of 7-8.5% given global uncertainties: CEA Nageswaran
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/growth-to-be-in-range-of-7-8-5-given-global-uncertainties-cea-nageswaran-122050401135_1.html
- ATF price hiked by 3.22% to record high
https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/atf-price-hiked-by-322-per-cent-to-record-high/article65372391.ece
- Rising costs hit grocery consumption, staples and F&B worst affected
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/rising-costs-hit-grocery-consumption-staples-and-fb-worst-affected/articleshow/91299496.cms
- Recovery of consumer sentiments maybe impacted by inflation and unemployment: CMIE
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/recovery-of-consumer-sentiments-maybe-impacted-by-inflation-and-unemployment-cmie/articleshow/91338033.cms
- All indicators show that India is on the growth path: Goyal
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/all-indicators-show-that-india-is-on-the-growth-path-goyal/articleshow/91364396.cms
- Ensure India emerges as world's source of quality food grain: PM Modi
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/ensure-india-emerges-as-world-s-source-of-quality-food-grain-pm-modi-122050501412_1.html
- Interview: ‘India should prioritise employment generation in its macroeconomic policy’
https://scroll.in/article/1023041/interview-india-should-prioritise-employment-generation-in-its-macroeconomic-policy
- India’s economy likely to take till 2035 to overcome losses due to Covid-19, says RBI
https://scroll.in/latest/1022992/indias-economy-likely-to-take-till-2035-to-overcome-losses-due-to-covid-19-says-rbi
- What Does the Caste Wealth Gap Look Like in India?
https://thewire.in/economy/what-does-the-caste-wealth-gap-look-like-in-india
- Are We on the Edge of a Food Crisis?
https://thewire.in/economy/are-we-on-the-edge-of-a-food-crisis.
- A Tale of Trade-offs: The Anatomy of the Direct Benefit Transfers System
https://thewire.in/political-economy/a-tale-of-trade-offs-the-anatomy-of-the-direct-benefit-transfers-system
- Economy faces headwinds from global spillovers: RBI
https://theprint.in/economy/economy-faces-headwinds-from-global-spillovers-rbi/942288/
- Public Finance
- Wastage in welfare and subsidy schemes: Centre cracks the whip
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/wastage-in-welfare-and-subsidy-schemes-centre-cracks-the-whip-122050200006_1.html
- State govts' borrowings to be lower by Rs 50,000 crore in Q1: ICRA
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/state-govts-borrowings-to-be-lower-by-rs-50-000-crore-in-q1-icra-122050400033_1.html
- States' off-balance-sheet borrowings at decadal high; will hurt new investments, warns Crisil
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/states-off-balance-sheet-borrowings-at-decadal-high-will-hurt-new-investments-warns-crisil/articleshow/91315147.cms
- Govt warns of action against officials giving wrong financial information
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/national/finmin-warns-of-action-against-state-officials-responsible-for-falsification-of-financial-information/article65384921.ece
Taxation
- At ₹1.68-lakh cr, GST mop-up hits an all-time high in April
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/gst-collection-records-an-all-time-high-of-168-lakh-crore/article65372545.ece
- GoM for flat 28% GST on online gaming
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/gom-for-flat-28-gst-on-online-gaming/article65375882.ece
- Inflation, imports main reasons for record GST collections, says report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/inflation-imports-main-reasons-for-record-gst-collections-says-report-122050300027_1.html
- E-way bill generation dips in April; may hit May’s GST collection
https://www.livemint.com/news/india/eway-bill-generation-eases-a-notch-in-april-11651759680854.html
- Banking and Monetary Policy
- Banks post robust Q4 results
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/banks-post-robust-q4-results/article65372392.ece
- RBI turns hawkish, ups repo rate by 40 bps ‘to tackle inflation’
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/mpc-turns-hawkish-ups-repo-rate-by-40-bps-due-to-fears-of-collateral-damage-from-elevated-inflation/article65381945.ece
- High growth sectors not getting enough credit
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/high-growth-sectors-not-getting-adequate-credit/article65381375.ece
- Incremental credit-to-GDP FY23 share likely to cross 50% mark: SBI report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/incremental-credit-to-gdp-fy23-share-likely-to-cross-50-mark-sbi-report-122050200512_1.html
- India should take caution in introducing CBDC, says NCAER report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-should-take-caution-in-introducing-cbdc-says-ncaer-report-122050400036_1.html
- In a surprise move, RBI raises repo rate by 40 bps to 4.40 per cent
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/repo-rate-raised-by-40-bps-to-4-40-with-immediate-effect-rbi-governor-122050400541_1.html
- RBI should raise rates more to fulfil inflation mandate, regain credibility
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/rbi-should-raise-rates-more-to-fulfil-inflation-mandate-regain-credibility-122050500193_1.html
- Reward points, e-vouchers out of crypto tax ambit
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/reward-points-e-vouchers-out-of-crypto-tax-ambit/articleshow/91299526.cms
- Most banks put up lending, deposit rates
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/banks-begin-to-raise-lending-deposit-rates/article65384079.ece
- External Sector
- India fights for a permanent solution to public stock holding, MSP issues
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/wto-mc12-india-fights-against-sidelining-of-public-stock-holding-msp-issues/article65367164.ece
- India’s exports jump 24% YoY to $38.19 bn in April, trade deficit widens
https://www.livemint.com/economy/indias-exports-jump-24-yoy-to-38-19-bn-in-april-trade-deficit-widens-11651579472065.html
- India’s external sector looks vulnerable
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/indias-external-sector-looks-vulnerable/article65376512.ece
- Structural faultlines in trade numbers
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/structural-faultlines-in-trade-numbers/article65382047.ece
- India's pharma exports touch Rs 1.8 trillion in FY22, flat over FY21
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-pharma-exports-touch-rs-1-8-trillion-in-fy22-flat-over-fy21-122050200931_1.html
- India's Russian oil import 'minuscule', must not be politicised: Govt
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-oil-russian-import-minuscule-must-not-be-politicised-govt-122050400898_1.html
- India excludes 1,157 products from ambit of free trade pact with UAE
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/india-excludes-1157-products-from-ambit-of-free-trade-pact-with-uae/articleshow/91316982.cms
- India exports 7 mn tons of sugar so far this marketing yr; may touch new record of 9 mn: ISMA
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/india-exports-7-mn-tons-of-sugar-so-far-this-marketing-yr-may-touch-new-record-of-9-mn-isma/articleshow/91341424.cms
- India’s forex reserves slide to $600.42 billion; 7th straight weekly fall
https://theprint.in/economy/indias-forex-reserves-slide-to-600-42-billion-7th-straight-weekly-fall/937340/
- Agriculture and Rural Economy
- Wheat procurement target may be missed by a mile
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/india-wheat-procurement-likely-to-be-lower-by-over-50-of-govt-target/article65373749.ece
- For PMGKAY, Centre asks four States to shift from wheat to rice
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/centre-cuts-wheat-allocation-for-12-states-under-pmgkay/article65378547.ece
- Wheat procurement down 44% to 162 lakh tonnes till May 1 on higher exports
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/wheat-procurement-down-44-to-162-lakh-tonnes-till-may-1-on-higher-exports-122050201030_1.html
- 11% fewer households demanded work under MGNREGA this April, shows data
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/11-fewer-households-demanded-work-under-mgnrega-this-april-shows-data-122050300023_1.html
- Innovations to mitigate carbon emission in dairy sector
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/innovations-to-mitigate-carbon-emission-in-dairy-sector-122050301170_1.html
- Cumin prices to touch 5-year high as output shrinks by third: Report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/cumin-prices-to-touch-5-year-high-as-output-shrinks-by-third-report-122050300790_1.html
- Govt assures on fertiliser availability during Kharif season; says subsidy may rise to Rs 2.5 lakh cr this fiscal
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/govt-assures-on-fertiliser-availability-during-kharif-season-says-subsidy-may-rise-to-rs-2-5-lakh-cr-this-fiscal/articleshow/91268187.cms
- Farmers sell wheat to private players on global demand, lesser yield
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/farmers-sell-wheat-to-private-players-on-global-demand-lesser-yield/articleshow/91325484.cms
- Indian wheat prices increase by 2-3% after govt says exports will continue
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/indian-wheat-prices-increase-by-2-3-after-govt-says-exports-will-continue/articleshow/91353246.cms
- Sugar output up 14%; may touch record of 35.5 million tonnes in 2021-22: NFCSF
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/sugar-output-up-14-may-touch-record-of-35-5-million-tonnes-in-2021-22-nfcsf/articleshow/91346799.cms
- 45% growth in active internet users in rural India since 2019: Study
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/45-growth-in-active-internet-users-in-rural-india-since-2019-study-122050501161_1.html
- Industry, Manufacturing, Services and Technology
- Core sector output growth slows down to 4.3% in March on high base effect
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/high-base-effect-core-sector-output-growth-slows-down-to-43-per-cent-in-march-2022/article65367094.ece
- Integrating MSMEs into global value chains
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/integrating-msmes-into-global-value-chains/article65373553.ece
- Top IT firms see major drop in operating margins in Q4
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/info-tech/top-it-companies-see-significant-drop-in-operating-margins-for-q4/article65372808.ece#:~:text=The%20top%20four%20IT%20companies,attrition%20rates%20and%20pricing%20pressures.
- Manufacturing PMI rises to 54.7 in April, not much change on job front
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/indias-factory-activity-quickens-in-april-amid-high-inflation/article65374954.ece
- India's gold jewellery consumption likely to grow 11% in FY23: Report
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-gold-jewellery-consumption-likely-to-grow-11-in-fy23-report-122050200734_1.html
- Affordable housing finance cos loan book to grow 17-20% in FY23: Study
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/affordable-housing-finance-cos-loan-book-to-grow-17-20-in-fy23-study-122050300886_1.html
- India's services activity at 5-month high in Apr despite inflation worries
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-april-services-pmi-at-five-month-high-despite-inflation-worries-122050500292_1.html
- Auto retail sales grow 37% in April on low Covid-hit base effect
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/auto-retail-sales-grow-37-in-april-on-low-covid-hit-base-effect-122050500339_1.html
- Columns by Paul Krugman/ Joseph Stiglitz
- Vaccinating the world against COVID-19 is a no-brainer
https://journals.plos.org/globalpublichealth/article?id=10.1371%2Fjournal.pgph.0000427
- Opinion | Wonking Out: Education Has Less to Do With Inequality Than You Think
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/29/opinion/college-student-loan-debt.html
- Opinion | America, Again the Arsenal of Democracy
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/28/opinion/russia-ukraine-biden-aid.html
- Other Articles/ Columns
- Carbon dioxide emissions from India’s industries: Data sources and discrepancies
https://www.ideasforindia.in/topics/environment/carbon-dioxide-emissions-from-india-s-industries-data-sources-and-discrepancies.html
Commentary
- Growth and Decomposition of Nutri-cereals in India (1960–61 to 2019–20)
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/18/commentary/growth-and-decomposition-nutri-cereals-india-1960.html
- A Micro-perspective from Two South Indian States
Is Growth Enough for Poverty Reduction?
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/18/commentary/growth-enough-poverty-reduction.html
- The Sustainable Development Goals
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/18/commentary/sustainable-development-goals.html
Perspectives
- The Political Economy of the Crisis in Sri Lanka
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/18/perspectives/political-economy-crisis-sri-lanka.html
Special Articles
- Unpacking India’s COVID-19 Social Assistance Package
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/19/special-articles/unpacking-indias-covid-19-social-assistance.html
- Ramifications for the Post-pandemic Recovery Phase
India’s Household Leverage and the COVID-19 Crisis
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/18/special-articles/indias-household-leverage-and-covid-19-crisis.html
- Politics of Caste as a Census Category in Colonial India c 1871–1941
Numbers as a Means to Power
https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/18/special-articles/numbers-means-power.html
- Private-Debt Risks Are Hiding in Plain Sight
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/pandemic-debt-moratorium-and-ukraine-war-boost-debt-distress-by-carmen-m-reinhart-and-leora-klapper-2022-05?a_la=english&a_d=626f9b800a2d4d96d1cbcbd2&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=pandemic-debt-moratorium-and-ukraine-war-boost-debt-distress-by-carmen-m-reinhart-and-leora-klapper-2022-05&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=&barrier=accesspaylog
- Can Europe Weather Looming Gas Shortages?
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/eu-gas-shortage-contingency-plan-by-karsten-neuhoff-and-isabella-m-weber-2022-05?a_la=english&a_d=626fd9320a2d4d96d1e7f496&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=eu-gas-shortage-contingency-plan-by-karsten-neuhoff-and-isabella-m-weber-2022-05&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=&barrier=accesspaylog
- Good US-China Strategic Competition
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/us-china-zero-sum-strategic-competition-technology-innovation-by-michael-spence-2022-05?a_la=english&a_d=626feeab0a2d4d96d13f716f&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=us-china-zero-sum-strategic-competition-technology-innovation-by-michael-spence-2022-05&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=&barrier=accesspaylog
- When Does Inflation Stop?
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/what-caused-and-will-end-inflation-by-koichi-hamada-2022-05?a_la=english&a_d=62711bed97482688cc75fdc0&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=what-caused-and-will-end-inflation-by-koichi-hamada-2022-05&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=&barrier=accesspaylog
- The Fed Does Not Deserve All the Inflation Blame
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/us-federal-reserve-inflation-blame-by-kenneth-rogoff-2022-05?a_la=english&a_d=62727b37b470021221dc3b86&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=us-federal-reserve-inflation-blame-by-kenneth-rogoff-2022-05&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
- Addressing Europe’s Corporate Technology Gap
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/europe-disruptive-innovation-corporate-technology-gap-by-jan-mischke-and-jurica-novak-2022-05?a_la=english&a_d=6273938b411e6e4961968d62&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=%2Fsection%2Feconomics&a_li=europe-disruptive-innovation-corporate-technology-gap-by-jan-mischke-and-jurica-novak-2022-05&a_pa=section-commentaries&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
- Who wins from carnage in the credit markets?
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2022/05/07/who-wins-from-carnage-in-the-credit-markets
- Why long-term economic growth often disappoints
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2022/05/07/why-long-term-economic-growth-often-disappoints
- India begins the privatisation of its huge life-insurance company
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2022/05/07/india-begins-the-privatisation-of-its-huge-life-insurance-company
- Will an ever feebler currency save or sink Japan’s economy?
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/will-an-ever-feebler-currency-save-or-sink-japans-economy/21809095
- Russia’s economy is back on its feet
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2022/05/07/russias-economy-is-back-on-its-feet
- News on Kerala
- Universities to share research capabilities
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/universities-to-share-research-capabilities/article65385427.ece
- Interest in e-vehicles high: survey
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/interest-in-e-vehicles-high-survey/article65385574.ece
- State Finance Commission submits report
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/state-finance-commission-submits-report/article65379369.ece
Print Sources: The Hindu, Business Line, Business Standard, Economic Times
Online: Livemint, Scroll.in, The Wire, The Print, The India Forum, Newyork Times, Ideas for India,
Journals: Economic and Political Weekly, The Economist, Project Syndicate